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    March 19

    海阔天空

    我曾怀疑我走在沙漠中
    从不结果无论种什么梦
    才张开翅膀风却便沉默
    习惯伤痛能不能算收获
    庆幸的是我一直没回头
    每把汗流了生命变的厚重
    走出沮丧才看见新宇宙
    海阔天空在勇敢以后
    要拿执着将命运的锁打破
    冷漠的人
    谢谢你们曾经看轻我
    让我不低头更精采的活

    凌晨的窗口失眠整夜以后
    看着黎明从云里抬起了头
    日落是沉潜日出是成熟
    只要是光一定会灿烂的
    海阔天空在勇敢以后
    要拿执着将命运的锁打破
    冷漠的人
    谢谢你们曾经看轻我
    让我不低头更精采的活

    海阔天空狂风暴雨以后
    转过头对旧心酸一笑而过
    最懂我的人
    谢谢一路默默的陪着我
    让我拥有好故事可以说
    看未来一步步来了
    December 27

    Windows Live Messenger (MSN) 9

    MSN messenger 9不负众望,终于还是如预期的摇摇晃晃的迟迟发布出来了;不过,新版本还是可以的,把msn其他产品特性适度的整合了进来,让人有点爱不释手--我上来就把所有最新更新扫了一遍:)
     
    周末,继续5G,打球。
    November 21

    农民第六次拯救中国<转>

    前阵子看了一本<<龙行天下>>,阿里巴巴的曾鸣写得,整个一本书就在讲‘成本创新’。这本书理论高度的抽象和总结做是不错的,但是没啥新东西。
     
    下面转一篇吴晓波最近的文章。在看他的<<激荡三十年>>,看得很慢,原因是现在时间太零碎了。
     

    农民第六次拯救中国

    1989年,我第一次行走中国。在此之前,我是一个成长在江南城市里的文学青年,我只读到过课本上的中国,在用5个月时间踏遍南部中国之后,我在社会底层触摸到什么叫贫困、什么叫绝望、什么叫不可更改的生活。我第一次知道农民对于中国的意义。在江西井冈山,我找到了袁文才的儿子,他的父亲在1927年把毛泽东迎到了山上,从此拉开了改变中国命运的农民革命。我们在一堵泥墙前交谈,墙上涂着六个字,“打土豪,分田地”,它是60年前的遗迹,虽已褪色,却仍然无比醒目,如附着一个不灭的灵魂。我是在很多年后才恍然,袁文才和他的农民兄弟们之所以抛头颅、洒热血地跟随毛泽东打天下,就是因了这六个字的鼓动。

    这六个字赢得了中国农民的心。1958年,随着人民公社运动的兴起,土地又一次回到了政府的手中,在其后的二十年里,农民以消极怠工来应对新的土地政策。到1978年,中国开始本轮改革开放,也是在那一年,安徽和四川的农民冒死开始包产到户,土地以承包制的方式再次回到农民手中,它对中国的意义非同寻常,三十年间,中国改革数次峰回路转,却始终没有爆发粮食危机,在很大程度上正是因为农民在一开始就自行解决了产能问题,这一景象与另外一个社会主义国家――前苏联形成了鲜明的对比,后者在1990年推动休克式市场改革的时候,曾经爆发过严重的粮食危机。

    联产承包责任制的试验,可以说是中国农民第二次拯救了中国。随着土地分包到户,耕作效率大为提升,大量的农村人口从土地中溢出,可是当时的城市实行的是“围城政策”,严格控制农民进城,因为户籍制度的执行,农民在城市无法找到工作,无法享受医疗、教育等公共服务。因此,数以千万计的农民“洗脚上田”后,“离土不离乡”,就地办起了乡镇企业,它很快构成了国有工业体制外的一股重要力量,而且是如此灵活和充满生机的力量。就在拥有所有资源优势却体制僵硬的国有企业长期徘徊在放权让利的试验路径上的同时,乡土工业的崛起成为中国经济变革最重要的推动力,也是中国改革的最大魅力所在,到1987年,邓小平承认,“在农村改革中,我们完全没有预料到的最大的收获,就是乡镇企业发展起来了。突然冒出搞多种行业、搞商品经济、搞各种小型企业,异军突起”。人们可以在《邓小平文选》第三卷的第238页找到这一段话。以今视之,如果没有乡镇企业的出现,中国经济变革的格局是不堪设想的。

    乡镇企业的崛起,可以说是中国农民第三次拯救了中国。进入80 年代中后期,中国开始城市体制的改革,大量的农民被招进工厂,他们很快成为最廉价的、最没有保障的劳动力,因此而形成的成本优势构成了“中国制造”的最大竞争力。在过去的十多年里,中国商品横扫全球,靠的正是比美欧日工厂便宜4到8倍的劳动力成本。在经济学上,它有一个很动听的名词叫“人口红利”,红色让人联想到鲜血,这个比喻因此十分恰当。

    依赖于农民工人的“中国制造”,可以说是中国农民第四次拯救了中国。再说到了1998年前后,房地产成为拉动中国内需的发动机,农民再次成为“城市经营”的利益奉献者,政府以数万元的低廉价格征用无数农田,然后再以数倍、数十倍乃至数百倍的价格出让给开发商。地产的繁荣,造就了富可敌国的地方政府、造就了无数的富豪、造就了无数全世界最崭新的城市,以及造就了无数的中产阶级,但是,这一切都基础在中国农民的土地贡献上,在过去十年里,他们成为惟一没有实现财产性收入增长的社会阶层。

    因征夺农民土地而形成的地产繁荣,可以说是中国农民第五次拯救了中国。现在,轮到他们第六次拯救中国。

    正在眼下,随着中国宏观经济的萧条以及全球金融风暴的影响,东南沿海数以十万计的工厂陷入困境,大量工人被裁员,从10月份开始,百万农民工被迫提早返回乡村,他们将为这轮经济调整付出最大的代价,他们极可能是最受伤的群体。据估算,如果经济在明年6月份前无法复苏,新增失业农民工人将超过2000万人。这是一个可怕的数据,早在1961年底,因“大跃进”运动失败,中央政府曾经发布《动员城市人口下乡》,将2600人已经进城的农民全数精简下乡,而在1998年前后的国有企业改造中,也曾造成2250万工人的下岗,在当年这都酿成剧烈的社会动荡。

    近期的政策动态表明,中央政府在对外贸易和地产消费无法复苏的情景下,试图以巨额固定资产投资的方式强行拉动中国经济,其成效实在让人担忧。道理非常简单,如果消费――无论是国际贸易还是国内市场――没有复苏,对交通、能源性企业的投入都将是无法保证有效产出的,它除了让少数垄断企业获得大量机会以及造成新的投资浪费之外,很难有正向的效应。

    在我看来,当前政府最应该提出的是一个强有力的“就业保障计划”,以此为核心,实施企业减税、社会保障及失业救济等一揽子救援方案,并对各地政府进行刚性化的考核监督。这样的方案也许比拿出数万亿元救市要复杂得多,但却是根本之道。 

    当然,政策的轨道似乎正铺向另外一个方向。

    在充满了无穷变数的2009年,一个似乎确定下来的事实将是:我们的农民兄弟,将一如既往地、以无比惨烈的方式第六次“拯救”中国。

     
    October 29

    对一篇创业博文有感

    写得很有道理,虽然里面部分内容我有保留意见,但是整体而言,里面的故事的确很生动,很有启发性。
     
    看罢忍不住也想说两句,不过我想说说创业者的动机和心态。
     
    动机其实很简单,俗气版‘为了钱’,高尚版‘实现梦想’,BillGates版‘改变人类生活’;但是往往不同的动机后面带出的心态是不同的。我列了几点:
     
    1. 不要为了融资而融资。别把VC融钱当作企业发展的核心milestone,企业要有市场计划,产品计划,销售计划,而融资计划只是诸多发展规划中的一个,但绝对不是最重要的一个!整天想着融资的CEO一般企业都不怎么样,或是不那么outstanding。优质企业的CEO往往都是从心里不喜欢融资这种事情,而是真正踏实做业务,抓管理的企业家,把融资这样的事情交给专业的投行机构来打理。
     
    2. 正确对待VC的钱。这些钱不是你的,你在现阶段还是要为这些钱工作;拿到了资本可能意味着你会继续拿几年高管的工资,公司最后垮了,你一样一无所有,游戏规则就是这样,很残酷。所以,说着忽悠VC的创业朋友,想想看,到底是忽悠了VC还是忽悠了自己?
     
    3. 过把瘾就死的心态还是要有。不过是要重新定义这个‘过瘾’,如果定义为IPO或是sell,那是没问题的。毕竟,创业很苦,没有过把瘾就死的激情是比较难玩不下的。
     
    4. business is business。最近遇到一些企业家,很感性的人,说到自己的公司,言语神情都像在说自己的小孩。没错,自己做的企业是对他充满感情的,但是商业毕竟是商业,不要像雷曼兄弟那样,出于个人情感而延误了好的收购或是被并购的机会。这一点上,投行和投资人其实要平时多和企业沟通,平时说的多了,到决定的时候也就没那么难了。
     
    5. 两句忠告送给一些山寨投行/FA的朋友。那些本来是做企业,后来发现通过做企业可以结识很多投资机构,进而该行做投行/FA的朋友,我想说的是,做投行还是要看人,看资源,看Reputation的。如果真的热爱这一行,第一,Focus服务的领域。人少资源少,最好的方式就是focus。第二,真正帮到你的客户。搞一些乱七八糟的私密酒会,收了客户的钱又浪费投资人的时间,实在不是什么明智的做法。
     
    最后,我想说每个放下平静的生活,加入到创业队伍的人都是勇敢的,令人敬佩的,也希望每个创业者都能有所实现,有所收获!
     
    October 18

    做梦

    最近总是梦见家乡的白杨树
    October 12

    The Top Ten Lies of Entrepreneurs

     

    The Top Ten Lies of Entrepreneurs

    (Since I've antagonized the venture capital community with last week's blog, I thought I would complete the picture and “out” entrepreneurs to begin this week. The hard part about writing this blog was narrowing down these lies to ten. Luckily, my partner, Bill Reichert, had already documented this list of the top ten lies of entrepreneurs.)

    We get pitched dozens of times every year, and every pitch contains at least three or four of these lies. We provide them not because we believe we can increase the level of honesty of entrepreneurs as much as to help entrepreneurs come up with new lies. At least new lies indicate a modicum of creativity!

    1. “Our projections are conservative.” An entrepreneur's projections are never conservative. If they were, they would be $0. I have never seen an entrepreneur achieve even her most conservative projections. Generally, an entrepreneur has no idea what sales will be, so she guesses: “Too little will make my deal uninteresting; too big, and I'll look hallucinogenic.” The result is that everyone's projections are $50 million in year four. As a rule of thumb, when I see a projection, I add one year to delivery time and multiply by .1.
    2. “(Big name research firm) says our market will be $50 billion in 2010.” Every entrepreneur has a few slides about how the market potential for his segment is tens of billions. It doesn't matter if the product is bar mitzah planning software or 802.11 chip sets. Venture capitalists don't believe this type of forecast because it's the fifth one of this magnitude that they've heard that day. Entrepreneurs would do themselves a favor by simply removing any reference to market size estimates from consulting firms.
    3. “(Big name company) is going to sign our purchase order next week.” This is the “I heard I have to show traction at a conference” lie of entrepreneurs. The funny thing is that next week, the purchase order still isn't signed. Nor the week after. The decision maker gets laid off, the CEO gets fired, there's a natural disaster, whatever. The only way to play this card if AFTER the purchase order is signed because no investor whose money you'd want will fall for this one.
    4. “Key employees are set to join us as soon as we get funded.” More often than not when a venture capitalist calls these key employees who are VPs are Microsoft, Oracle, and Sun, he gets the following response, “Who said that? I recall meeting him at a Churchill Club meeting, but I certainly didn't say I would leave my cush $250,000/year job at Adobe to join his startup.” If it's true that key employees are ready to rock and roll, have them call the venture capitalist after the meeting and testify to this effect.
    5. “No one is doing what we're doing.” This is a bummer of a lie because there are only two logical conclusions. First, no one else is doing this because there is no market for it. Second, the entrepreneur is so clueless that he can't even use Google to figure out he has competition. Suffice it to say that the lack of a market and cluelessness is not conducive to securing an investment. As a rule of thumb, if you have a good idea, five companies are going the same thing. If you have a great idea, fifteen companies are doing the same thing.
    6. “No one can do what we're doing.” If there's anything worse than the lack of a market and cluelessness, it's arrogance. No one else can do this until the first company does it, and ten others spring up in the next ninety days. Let's see, no one else ran a sub four-minute mile after Roger Bannister. (It took only a month before John Landy did). The world is a big place. There are lots of smart people in it. Entrepreneurs are kidding themselves if they think they have any kind of monopoly on knowledge. And, sure as I'm a Macintosh user, on the same day that an entrepreneur tells this lie, the venture capitalist will have met with another company that's doing the same thing.
    7. “Hurry because several other venture capital firms are interested.” The good news: There are maybe one hundred entrepreneurs in the world who can make this claim. The bad news: The fact that you are reading a blog about venture capital means you're not one of them. As my mother used to say, “Never play Russian roulette with an Uzi.” For the absolute cream of the crop, there is competition for a deal, and an entrepreneur can scare other investors to make a decision. For the rest of us, don't think one can create a sense of scarcity when it's not true. Re-read the previous blog about the lies of venture capitalists, to learn how entrepreneurs are hearing “maybe” when venture capitalists are saying “no.”
    8. “Oracle is too big/dumb/slow to be a threat.” Larry Ellison has his own jet. He can keep the San Jose Airport open for his late night landings. His boat is so big that it can barely get under the Golden Gate Bridge. Meanwhile, entrepreneurs are flying on Southwest out of Oakland and stealing the free peanuts. There's a reason why Larry is where he is, and entrepreneurs are where they are, and it's not that he's big, dumb, and slow. Competing with Oracle, Microsoft, and other large companies is a very difficult task. Entrepreneurs who utter this lie look at best naive. You think it's bravado, but venture capitalists think it's stupidity.
    9. “We have a proven management team.” Says who? Because the founder worked at Morgan Stanley for a summer? Or McKinsey for two years? Or he made sure that John Sculley's Macintosh could power on? Truly “proven” in a venture capitalist's eyes is founder of a company that returned billions to its investors. But if the entrepreneur were that proven, that he (a) probably wouldn't have to ask for money; (b) wouldn't be claiming that he's proven. (Do you think Wayne Gretzky went around saying, “I am a good hockey player”?) A better strategy is for the entrepreneur to state that (a) she has relevant industry experience; (b) she is going to do whatever it takes to succeed; (c) she is going to surround herself with directors and advisors who are proven; and (d) she'll step aside whenever it becomes necessary. This is good enough for a venture capitalist that believes in what the entrepreneur is doing.
    10. “Patents make our product defensible.” The optimal number of times to use the P word in a presentation is one. Just once, say, “We have filed patents for what we are doing.” Done. The second time you say it, venture capitalists begin to suspect that you are depending too much on patents for defensibility. The third time you say it, you are holding a sign above your head that says, “I am clueless.” Sure, you should patent what you're doing--if for no other reason than to say it once in your presentation. But at the end of the patents are mostly good for impressing your parents. You won't have the time or money to sue anyone with a pocket deep enough to be worth suing.
    11. “All we have to do is get 1% of the market.” (Here's a bonus since I still have battery power.) This lie is the flip side of “the market will be $50 billion.” There are two problems with this lie. First, no venture capitalist is interested in a company that is looking to get 1% or so of a market. Frankly, we want our companies to face the wrath of the anti-trust division of the Department of Justice. Second, it's also not that easy to get 1% of any market, so you look silly pretending that it is. Generally, it's much better for entrepreneurs to show a realistic appreciation of the difficulty of building a successful company.
    October 11

    The Venture Capitalist Wishlist (转)

    里面有些和咱们国内的VC略略不同,不过作为去guideline to talk with VC还是不错的,创业的朋友可以参考一下。

    The Venture Capitalist Wishlist

    WishBy popular demand (okay, two people asked me to do it), here are the top ten ways to attract the interest of venture capitalists. There's no guarantee that if you do these ten things that you'll raise millions of dollars, but this wishlist will get you in the game.

    Before you even start addressing the hard stuff, never ask a venture capitalist to sign a non-disclosure agreement (NDA). They never do. This is because at any given moment, they are looking at three or four similar deals. They're not about to create legal issues because they sign a NDA and then fund another, similar company--thereby making the paranoid entrepreneur believe the venture capitalist stole his idea. If you even ask them to sign one, you might as well tattoo “I'm clueless!” on your forehead.

    1. Build a real business. This seems like a “duhism,” but few entrepreneurs do it. Most entrepreneurs focus on quick flips to an IPO or acquisition. Don't get me wrong: venture capitalists aren't necessarily good guys who want to make meaning and change the world. It's just that we've noticed that entrepreneurs who make meaning and change the world usually also make money. Nothing is more seductive to venture capitalists than a company that they can easily imagine having a big impact on the world.
    2. Get an intro. Venture capitalists are lazy people. We don't want to be DeBeers: sifting through two tons of dirt to find a few diamonds. We want things handed to us on a silver platter like when someone we know, and maybe even trust, tells us about a good deal. The best intros come from corporate finance attorneys, college professors, and the CEOs of companies in our portfolio. Intros from these parties will usually result in at least a meeting. (Incidentally, this is a good reason why even though Uncle Joe the divorce attorney could probably do your early legal work, you don't want him to: he can't make any introductions compared to the lowliest lawyer at Heller, Ehrman.)
    3. Obey the 10/20/30 rule. To repeat myself, your PowerPoint presentation should have approximately ten slides; you should be able to give this presentation in twenty minutes; and the smallest font should be thirty points. And yes, this means you--the guy with the revolutionary, patent-pending, curve-jumping, open-source, Google-adwords-optimized way to sell dogfood online.
    4. Show traction. The easiest way to “prove” that you have a real business is to see that you're already generating revenue. It's one thing to believe your bull-shitake PowerPoint presentation; it's another to see cash flowing into your company. You show traction, and most venture capitalists will be willing to suspend disbelief. Fundamentally, you're asking venture capitalists to take a leap of faith with you--we'd rather jump off a diving board than the Golden Gate Bridge. If you can't show traction, then at least line up customer references who will really say, “If they build this, we'll buy it.”
    5. Clean up your act. Going back to my theory that venture capitalists are lazy, you need to present a clean deal to venture capitalists. “Clean” means that there isn't a lawsuit by your former employer contesting the ownership of the intellectual property of your company; nor have you sold common stock to your friends and relatives; nor given stock to vendors in lieu of fees; nor have a disgruntled founder who owns 25% of the company but doesn't do anything but sit around and complain. The more crap that a venture capitalist has to clean up, the less likely he'll be interested in your deal.
    6. Disclose everything. If you have crap that you simply cannot clean up, then disclose it right away--not necessarily in the first meeting, but soon thereafter. When it's making an investment decision or, later, serving on your board of directors, the worst thing you can do to a venture capitalist is surprise her with bad news.
    7. Acknowledge, or create, an enemy. Woe to you that claims you have no competition. It means you're clueless or pursuing a market that doesn't exist. Venture capitalists like to see some competition--it means that there's some validation that a market exists. Then, it's your problem to explain why you have an unfair advantage. If you truly have no competition (and I doubt it), then just say that Microsoft or Google might go after you because these companies do want it all.
    8. Tell new lies. Please refer to my list of the top ten lies of entrepreneurs. Every time you tell one of these lies, you decrease the likelihood of funding by 25%. Do the math: you tell four lies, and you won't get funded. I'd like to add an eleventh lie that someone brought to my attention: “This is the last round of funding we'll need.” That's a joke and a lie.
    9. Don't fall for old trick questions. Venture capitalists will try two trick questions on you in order to assess your degree of cluelessness. (1) Do you see yourself as the long-term CEO of this company? (2) What is the liquidity path for your company?“ The right answer for the first one is, ”My goal is to build a great company. If it means that I need to step aside, I will gladly do so when the time is right.“ The right answer for the second one is, ”Frankly, I haven't given a lot of thought to liquidity. My team and I are heads down and focusing on finishing the product. If we build a great company, I'm confident liquidity of some form will occur.“
    10. Under promise and over deliver. In everything that you say, ensure that your results exceed expectations. Deliver a prototype earlier. Deliver your list of references earlier. Sign up your first customers earlier. Close a partnership deal earlier. Launch earlier. The only thing you shouldn't do earlier is run out of money.

    Written at: Back seat of a car going to San Francisco.

    August 14

    卖给和尚梳子的Sales真的牛吗?

    ‘成功地卖给了和尚梳子的Sales真的NB吗?’晚上回来在出租车上突然想到这个问题。上次杭州听马云质疑了这个后,更加坚定我对这个BS(Bullshit)观点的BS(鄙视)。
     
    真正好的Sales是要满足客户的需求。人家没有需求被你忽悠了一番,暂时主观感觉好像有了,当时买了你的东西,实际上发现后来没有屁用,心里一定痛骂。下次这个Sales再跑去忽悠的时候,搞不好会被少林神僧一顿乱棍打死...做人要厚道,做Sales更要。
     
    投行业务都是由selling job开始的。在这个工作上,我非常同意王冉的观点:要平衡忽悠和诚实。忽悠是要的,但是一定要有度。100分的公司,我们可以说到120-130,但是如果忽悠成了200分的公司,且有人买单了,那么事后一定有人要骂的,结果就是:对客户,对我们,对投资人都是会件不越快的事情。所以,诚实的做生意,要真真正正为客户带来价值,为投资人带来收益,才是长久之道。
     
    也不知道是谁先提出的‘卖梳子给和尚’这个观点的,误导了群众这么多年...
    August 05

    Back from Alibaba SME summit

    有些话还是经典的,记录一下:
     
    该死的就让他去死吧。(马云)
    说道现在一些低附加值,偏制造,低利润的公司关门的很多时,马云不客气的提到这麽一句。优胜劣汰也是自然法则,让该死的活着才该死。
     
    我一定要每天都睡得好,让我的竞争对手睡不好;如果我的竞争对手睡的好,我睡不好,那就麻烦了。(马云)
     
    男人要敢于承认自己的错误才是真男人。(冯仑)
    不但要承认,还要沉浸在失败和错误里,享受之,从中吸取教训。
     
    很多失败是由于男人的虚荣心导致的。从前到了一个城市人家过来车接,送钱,后来环境变了,要自己到哪里都要打的,这对自己的虚荣心是个挑战。(冯仑)
    女人的虚荣心失控会有个可悲的结果,男人的会是个可怕的结果。
     
    创业成功与否不取决于智商,归根结底是情商。(史玉柱)
    一位自称是‘农村来的’‘智商低’的lady问创业成功的秘诀是什么,主持人马上纠正说‘农村来的不一定智商低,史玉柱就是农村出来...’史玉柱接过话马上解释‘我爸爸是公安局干部,我怎么会是农村出来的?’全场笑翻了。马上又说道创业成功和情商的关系,说成功创业关键在情商。不过,他忘了说智商和情商的关系。智商低的人情商不可能高的,所以创业成功与否还是和智商有一定关系的。
     
    骂你的下属不要紧,只要合理认错,并且告诉他,骂你是因为咱们太熟,关系太好,走的太近了。(史玉柱)
    一个为了提问冲动的屡次差点冲到台上的人问‘为何越是和我亲近的人,我对他们脾气越大?而同事,下属我反而能忍’。史玉柱告诉他,那是因为在最亲的人面前,你是完全自我的,不虚伪的,心离的最近的。而对你下属,你们是有距离的,所以不是真正的自己。对下属可以骂,但是要认错。然后再补一句,‘我们心离的太近了,彼此没有虚伪’。
     
    If you are as crazy as Jack, you will succeed. (孙正义)
    Well, my comments to this is 'anything is possible!'.
     
    在杭州遇到以前李宁的同事,颇有他乡遇故知的感觉,不错!
     
    July 27

    周末随记

    洗衬衣错把白衬衣的漂白剂当作衣领净,一堆衬衣全部给洗花了~ 破费,劳神。
     
    去练球停滞在100码左右加上不稳定,进步缓慢,去down段video仔细学习一下理论去。
     
    我的猫也两岁了,相当于人30了吧,依然不懂事的乱来...
     
    案子多起来了,打起精神,加油干,相应老大号召,买辆SLK泡妞专用车,然后每天早上开着去买豆浆and油条
    July 20

    Back from China Joy

    传统行业和数字新经济产业
    会间久游的老大埋怨巨人的服务导向的竞争策略打乱了整个市场的格局,让游戏产业变得更像传统行业,PE通通在10左右,甚至不如一些传统产业的公司。这让我想起在李宁时拜访腾讯的一段经历:我们发现腾讯的Annual Revenue在50亿左右,员工5000人,而李宁则是60多亿1000员工,当然PE相差还是很多的,当时我们也是疑惑到底传统企业是不是真的‘旧’了。
     
    造成这个的原因之一我想还是中国本土高科技企业对于科技研发的投入还是不够,自主IP的产品还是太少。看看现在好的高科技公司,几乎没有真正意义上的‘原创产品’:百度前面有Google,QQ也是在ICQ IM上发展起来的,盛大是游戏Operator。这方面其实政府应该做一些引导,弄一些基础性的工作。
     
    Game show or girl show?
    进去满眼的清凉美女,每个展台前面玩游戏看游戏的人相比较起看MM的真是可以忽略不计啊~会间下楼转一圈,顿时来了精神:回去继续开会。:(
    和车展不同的是China Joy的MM偏年轻,不像车站的清一色的熟女。
     
    漫画产业大家要支持啊
    遇到一群搞动漫/漫画的朋友,感觉他们很不容易。大家要多支持一些国产的动漫/漫画产业啊,别把钱都扔到日本了。
     
    借用5G哥们的美图一用哈大笑
    IMG_3902IMG_3978
    July 05

    如果请中国导演来拍《功夫熊猫》(转载)

    转一篇王冉的博文。
     
    medium
     
    如果请中国导演来拍《功夫熊猫》 (2008-07-01 08:30:49)
    标签:娱乐 

    这个周末抽空看了《功夫熊猫》。在此之前我已经听到好几个朋友告诉我说他们(或者他们的孩子)要去看第二遍甚至第三遍,还有人特意提醒我说要在看完原版的之后再去看一遍中文配音版的。因此,走进电影院的那一刻我对这部充满中国元素的动画片已经有了很高的期望值。通常在这种情况下,失望的几率要远远超过50%。可是这一次,这部影片满足了我对一部耗资1.3亿美元拍摄、1.5亿美元宣传的好莱坞商业动画片的所有期待,并且只多不少。

     

    能把一个阳光向上而又非常简单的故事讲得一波三折行云流水般顺畅,让你一口气看完不觉得累、每三分钟都有笑声该松的地方松该紧的地方紧、结尾获得除暴安良除恶扬善后的心理满足并且有一种很痛快的被“娱乐”(而不是被“愚弄”)的感觉,这不是“功夫熊猫”,这是“功夫好莱坞”。在这方面,好莱坞的确是我们中国电影产业的“Master西福(师傅)”。

     

    我在想,如果让中国导演至少是一部分中国导演来拍这部影片,又会是什么情况?我们不妨带着娱乐的心态推测一下--

     

    1.      他们可能会觉得故事结构过于简单,不够哲理,不够深刻,不够扭曲。解决方案:为了诠释因果报应,让引狼入室、养痈成患的“浣熊西福”死在自己一手培养出来的“豺狼”手下;为了诠释大爱无边,让熊猫阿宝在能够绝杀“豺狼”的时候手下留情,放他出走,结束这场跨越20年的纷争。

     

    2.      他们可能会觉得人物(确切地说,是动物)个性过于分明,好动物坏动物太容易分清,不够复杂,不够冲突,不够拧吧。解决方案:让熊猫“阿宝”在成为神龙大侠之前在面馆里终日颓废不堪,凶猛酗酒甚至磕药;再在靠近结尾的某个地方交待出豺狼走向暴力之路的最初动因是他当年最爱的女狐狸曾经被“龟大师”虎口拔牙。这样,作恶多端的豺狼其实也是受害者。

     

    3.      他们可能会觉得人物设置过于清淡,不够丰富、不够浪漫,不够人性,没有男欢女爱的电影不是电影。解决方案:让阿宝和浣熊师傅共同喜欢上一只女蝴蝶,师徒二人因爱生恨,再为了更大的天下和平捐弃前嫌,同仇敌忾。龟大师和豺豹没有解决到位的腐朽问题被他们在大义面前神奇地解决了。

     

    4.      他们可能会觉得叙事风格过于线性和直白,不够时空交错,不够人物交叉。解决方案:把一个故事拆分成五个时空环,分别采用正叙、倒叙、正叙中倒叙、倒叙中正叙、插叙等方法环环缠绕,不信绕不乱你,五环相连喜迎北京奥运。

     

    5.      他们可能会觉得画面过于清朗,不够艺术,不够心情,不够“飞”。解决方案,让镜头摇晃起来,电影院前排座椅后背上像飞机上一样配呕吐袋。

     

    6.      他们可能会觉得音乐过于平庸,不够震撼,不够穿透,不够大气。解决方案:让张靓颖在结尾唱一首如泣如诉的《江山之宝》或者刘欢唱一首荡气回肠的《功夫在我心》。

     

    7.      他们可能会觉得台词过于日常和生活,不够铿锵,不够隽永,不够深邃。解决方案:让乌龟大师在大驾仙去的时候意味深长地说:“记住,世界上最有力的武器是相信,相信是可以创造奇迹的。”让浣熊大师在听到豺狼越狱逃逸的时候若有所思地说:“该来的总会来的,你听到风的声音了吗?”让阿宝在面对豺狼开始出手之前掷地有声地说:“宽容是上帝赐给你的礼物,可是你不要,现在,为民除害就是我最大的梦想!”

     

    于是,我们将会看到这样一部电影一个曾经颓废的熊猫,一个被自己曾经的徒弟亲手干掉的“西福”,一个急于复仇的豺豹,一个年轻时留下孽债的龟老,外带两个妩媚的女动物一个风韵犹存一个含苞待放。结尾是,该死的都死了,只有阿宝还活着,但是他发现他心爱的女蝴蝶已经怀上了豺豹的小豺豹……

     

    中国的电影界经常会拿电影审查制度说事。虽然不能说我们的电影审查制度没有进一步改善的空间,但有些时候还真不是电影局的问题。

     

    你看好莱坞大片,其实绝大多数都是阳光透明的“准主旋律”电影普通人成为英雄,卑微走向伟大,有情人终成眷属,好人有好报,付出有回报,正义战胜邪恶,和平击败战争,等等。再看一些中国导演们的作品,除了一些说教气息过于浓烈的政府“主旋律”,剩下的往往是怎么拧巴怎么喝大怎么变态怎么来,好像生怕自己的片子能一下子通过电影局审查让自己显得很没面子。

     

    中影集团的韩三平有一次在饭桌上说了一句非常经典的话:“电影就是给观众做足底,你的工作就是要让观众舒服;别光自己知道做足底的时候舒服,到拍片子的时候却老想让全国观众跟你一起练举重。”

     

    我想象不出一句比这更让我赞同的话,尤其是在全国票房只有区区几十亿人民币的今天。

     

    不知从什么时候开始,中国的文人们不约而同地开始摒弃把一个故事讲好的基本功,好像讲故事过于低级。导演把电影当成宣泄自己理想和情绪的工具,甚至连记者和传记作者都习惯了还没说两句事实就开始夹叙夹议。(我前两天在别人的推荐下看了一本写中海油收购尤尼克过程的书,作者本来是这个交易部分过程的亲历者,有很好的叙事地位,可是却总是还没讲几句过程就要跳出来议论一番,而这些议论又大多半生不熟,因此我看这本书的时候只好遇到事实陈述就往下看、只要作者一开始议论就赶紧跳过,但又不知道该跳几段,一本书看下来十分的辛苦。)

     

    在这种环境下,我想中国电影产业的振兴与繁荣或许也可以从一件事开始,那就是让所有的编剧和导演们真正意识到,能把一个故事丝丝入扣地讲好并且讲得引人入胜,是一件比玩概念、玩感觉、玩技巧牛得多的事!因为恕我直言我来电影院就是为了享受那舒服的“足底”;如同我做足底的时候并不指望按脚的师傅能帮我看病,如果我想受教育我可以直接去看人民日报社论。

     

    和前面提到的那个结尾相比,我更喜欢我们现在看到的这个结尾:大战强敌之后,面对身边躺着的差点丧命的浣熊师傅,酷爱美食、憨态可掬的阿宝就像什么都没发生一样随口问了一句:“我饿了,你想不想去吃点东西?”

     

    影片嘎然而止,节奏好得一塌糊涂。不知道别人如何,反正这个时候,我真切地感受到了那两个字:舒服。

    June 28

    我的super力学课本

    今天和朋友吃饭,想起大学一段故事,和大家分享一下:
     
    我大学的弹性力学课本一直丢在教室里,在从开学到学期结束的时间里,经历沧海桑田的变化。由于我不上课的时间多过上课的,于是,每次去都发现课本的Title有所改变:第一次改变是一位文雅的同学把‘弹性力学’的‘弹’字用白胶带盖住,并写了个‘谈’字上去,变成了‘谈 性力学’;过了段时间,再去上课,发现又被改了,变成了‘谈性学’,索性把中间的‘力’字给盖上了;最后,大概是胶带还有剩余吧,干脆把‘谈’字也盖上,于是变成了‘性学’(*&^%$#@ 年轻的教授一次从我身边走过,看着陌生的面孔和如此的课本,心中一定波澜汹涌...
    June 14

    Shelly,你看到我的手雷了么?

    看过无数次航班延误导致大批乘客滞留机场的报道后,终于,和Shelly老大也一起经历了一次。
     
    话说东航服务之差是出了名的,可是我又无法抗拒其合适的时间和机场的诱惑,本周返回上海的航班还是订了东航,只希望可以到浦东机场然后磁悬浮回家,经济又快捷。可怕的是,当我们准时登机坐好后,一性感男声告知‘要等’‘排队上天’‘多久未知’。算了,就当给飞往四川的航班让路了,不计较了。可是在接下来三分钟里,影响整个剧情的事件发生了...
     
    一位黝黑魁梧的北方兄弟实在难忍苦等的无聊,大概说了句‘影响飞行安全’的话,然后就发现乘务员男甲横起小眉毛,满脸愤怒的说着‘你丫再说一边’,然后就是一整爹了妈了的国骂,听得我都有点不好意思:( 我当时也幼稚的以为事情就这样了,乘客不爽骂两句,乘务员安慰一下,就结了。事实证明,I was totally wrong! 惊心动魄的高潮终于到来了:两队警察叔叔(说机场条子确切些)喊着支持奥运的口号,整整齐齐恭恭敬敬的走到那位兄弟面前说‘哥们,下去聊聊’,那位兄弟一看阵势不对,慌忙打开Moto e360商务系列准备搬兵,打头的警察叔叔扶了扶眼镜,慈祥地说‘对不起,您不能打手机,还是和我们走吧’。黑兄弟注意到这对条子最后有个狗仔队正在录像,心里琢磨着‘此时不易轻动’,然后回头和身边的一位好汉微笑一瞥‘走吧?’,那位好汉爽朗的回到‘走!’。直到这时才发现黑兄弟的女友/老婆一直在一旁默默地坚定的支持着他,随即也站起来一道走了出去。跟在最后的狗仔还时不时回拍一下群众,我轻轻的在心里伸出了中指...
     
    随后的一个半小时,所有的乘客都被请到了一候机厅,得到的指示是‘飞机要进行一次全面安检,包括客舱和货仓’。当大家都在牢骚和抱怨中渡过时,Shelly便向我讲起她的过去若干次‘长时间候机’的经历,说这次的经历算是一个很好补充,坐飞机这档事该遇的也都遇的差不多了。在熬了一个多钟头后,当我们忿忿为何还要再做一次安检的时候,革命的乐观精神闪现出来:如果下次想让所有乘客多做一次安检,那么在上了飞机后,当乘务员走过身边时,我大声问她一句‘Shelly,你看见我的那颗手雷了么?’
     
    这件事后,至少有两点要铭记:
    1.东航的服务不行。排队上天总是排到最后。
    2.飞机上讲话要三思。
    June 09

    一路顺风,Dean

    大学上铺的兄弟Dean要离开上海了,今天算是送别加祝其生日快乐(端午节生日,好记)。像在大学时的感觉一样,坐一桌聊天,喝酒,然后换个地方继续喝...
     
    上海是个充满机遇和挑战的城市,同时也是一个泯灭淳朴和真诚的地方。大概这哥们走了后,这种喝酒聊天的机会就又少了一些,也就又少了一些重温大学同学间的感觉的一些机会了。不爽...
     
    希望Dean一路走好,在异国他乡能过的舒坦,活的潇洒!
     
    ps: 发现麻将是个很能促进交流的活动,以后有时间要常打!:)
    May 28

    假如

    假如——

    假如你能——在别人不知所谓却对你横加指责的时候,保持清醒的头脑;
    假如你能——在所有人都怀疑你的时候仍然相信自己,并能体谅别人对你的怀疑;
    假如你能等待且又充满耐心,或者,从不用谎言去应付谎言,也不用仇恨去回击仇恨,既不故作正经也不夸夸其谈。
    假如你充满梦想——但绝不做梦想的奴仆;
    假如你勤于思考——却不把思想当作目标;
    假如你能——在遇到胜利和困难时态度同样平静;
    假如你能容忍你所说的真理,被无赖用作捕捉愚人的陷阱,或看着你所献身的事业轰然倒塌,你能屈身拾起残破的工具把它们重建。
    假如你能——把所有赢来的筹码都押在一把赌注上,输光后仍能重新再来,且对输赢只字不提。
    假如你能——在运气不佳身心俱疲之时,仍能全力以赴抓住机遇,在一无所有只剩意志支撑的时刻,咬牙坚持到底。
    假如你能——与三教九流为伍而独善其身,与王公贵族同行而不忘本色;
    假如无论是敌是友都不能伤害到你;
    假如所有的人对你来说同等重要;
    假如你能把每一分宝贵的光阴化作六十秒的奋斗——
    你就拥有了整个世界,
    最重要的是——你就成了一个真正的人,我的孩子
    May 19

    默哀时刻

    刚才2点28分时,陆家嘴这里,32层楼上可以听到震天的汽车喇叭,警报鸣笛声,在整个视野里,路上的车几乎都停了下来!整个世界在那一刻静止了!心里感慨到中华名族此刻的万众一心。。。
     
    为死去的人默哀,祈福的同时,更珍惜自己现在的一切。
    February 02

    What do you want to buy today?

    Watched the news from CNN that microsoft is buying yahoo for 44.8 billion usd. I heard this for long and thought i was just a rumor. feel interested that it finally happened. A few things microsoft must face: people, product and technology. right, there must be merge between people and products. I just can't help asking 'is the deal really good to internet user? ' if it isn't, google, again, benefits most from the acqusition in the short term.
     
    Who is the next that microsoft is aiming at?
    January 28

    上海17年罕见之大雪

    上海17年罕见之大雪,记录一下。这雪让我想起来东北读书的日子。
     
    被困在上海,我的北京年会也黄了,并且接下来的几天,哪都不能飞。
     
    17年前我在哪里,在干啥呢?
    January 19

    Anything is possible

     
    Anything is possbile, 一切皆有可能!
     
    别说,这话说的多了,人还真是会有点亢奋的。